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[๐Ÿ”ฅ Hot off the Feed] Visa Walls, Offshoring Gates

When $100,000 visa fees may accelerate jobs moving abroad

๋น„์ž ์žฅ๋ฒฝ, ์•„์›ƒ์†Œ์‹ฑ์˜ ๋ฌธ์ด ๋˜๋‹ค
10๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋น„์ž ์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ๊ฐ€ ์ผ์ž๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ๊ตญ์™ธ๋กœ ๋ฐ€์–ด๋‚ธ๋‹ค

๐Ÿ˜Ž ์ง€๊ธˆ ์ฃผ์ œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค๊ณผ ์–˜๊ธฐํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ๋‹ค๋ฉด?

๐Ÿ‘‰ ์Šคํ„ฐ๋”” ์‹ ์ฒญ ๋งํฌ : https://forms.gle/6a6ou68a2YyLvnaMA

๐Ÿ‘‰ ์Šคํ„ฐ๋”” ๋ฌธ์˜ : https://open.kakao.com/me/insightsalon

๐Ÿ“Œ Context is King

Donald Trump has proposed a steep $100,000 fee for new H-1B visa applicationsโ€”far above the current ~$2,500. While meant to protect American jobs, the move may have the opposite effect: companies are now reconsidering hiring foreign talent altogether.

๋„๋„๋“œ ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„๋Š” ๊ธฐ์กด ์•ฝ 2,500๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ˆ˜์ค€์˜ H-1B ๋น„์ž ์‹ ์ฒญ ๋น„์šฉ์„ 10๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ ์ธ์ƒํ•˜๊ฒ ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ผ์ž๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ๋ณดํ˜ธํ•˜๋ ค๋Š” ์กฐ์น˜๋กœ ๋ณด์ด์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋Š” ์ •๋ฐ˜๋Œ€์ผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์€ ์ด์ œ ์•„์˜ˆ ์™ธ๊ตญ ์ธ์žฌ ๊ณ ์šฉ์„ ์žฌ๊ณ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

This shift could reshape global labor flows. Indian IT firms, which long relied on U.S.-based engineers, are now expanding local and offshore operations instead. Visa policy, once a ticket to opportunity, is now a catalyst for global restructuring.

์ด ๋ณ€ํ™”๋Š” ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋…ธ๋™ ํ๋ฆ„ ์ž์ฒด๋ฅผ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฃผ์žฌ ์—”์ง€๋‹ˆ์–ด์— ์˜์กดํ•˜๋˜ ์ธ๋„ IT ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์€ ์ด์ œ ํ˜„์ง€ ๋ฐ ํ•ด์™ธ ์˜คํผ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ํ™•๋Œ€์— ์ง‘์ค‘ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋น„์ž๋Š” ๋” ์ด์ƒ ๊ธฐํšŒ์˜ ํ‹ฐ์ผ“์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ, ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์กฐ์ •์˜ ์ด‰๋งค๊ฐ€ ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๐Ÿงฉ IYKYK(If you know, you know)

  1. H-1B Visa (์ „๋ฌธ์ง ์ทจ์—… ๋น„์ž)
    A non-immigrant visa allowing U.S. companies to employ foreign workers in specialty occupations.
    โ†’ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์—…์ด ์™ธ๊ตญ์ธ ์ „๋ฌธ ์ธ๋ ฅ์„ ๊ณ ์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋„๋ก ํ—ˆ์šฉํ•˜๋Š” ๋น„์ด๋ฏผ ๋น„์ž.

  2. Global Capability Center (๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์—ญ๋Ÿ‰ ์„ผํ„ฐ, GCC)
    Offshore hubs set up by multinationals in countries like India to centralize R&D, analytics, and operations.
    โ†’ ๋‹ค๊ตญ์  ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์ด ์ธ๋„ ๋“ฑ์— ์„ค๋ฆฝํ•œ ์˜คํ”„์‡ผ์–ด ๊ฑฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ, ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœยท๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ๋ถ„์„ยท์šด์˜ ๋“ฑ์„ ๋‹ด๋‹น.

  3. Offshoring (์˜คํ”„์‡ผ์–ด๋ง)
    The practice of relocating business processes to another country to cut costs or access talent.
    โ†’ ๋น„์šฉ ์ ˆ๊ฐ ๋˜๋Š” ์ธ์žฌ ํ™•๋ณด๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ํ•ด์™ธ๋กœ ๋น„์ฆˆ๋‹ˆ์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์„ธ์Šค๋ฅผ ์ด์ „ํ•˜๋Š” ์ „๋žต.

๐Ÿง  In Focus

U.S. visa restrictions have pushed Indian IT giants to pivot faster: Infosys now hires over 90% of its U.S. staff locally, and only 8% of its total workforce is U.S.-based. Visa dependency is no longer a strategic strength.

๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ๋น„์ž ์ œํ•œ ์กฐ์น˜๋Š” ์ธ๋„ IT ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๋น ๋ฅธ ์ „ํ™˜์„ ์ด๋Œ๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ธํฌ์‹œ์Šค๋Š” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋‚ด ์‹ ๊ทœ ๊ณ ์šฉ์˜ 90% ์ด์ƒ์„ ํ˜„์ง€์—์„œ ์ถฉ๋‹นํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ „์ฒด ์ธ๋ ฅ ์ค‘ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ์ธ๋ ฅ์€ 8%์— ๋ถˆ๊ณผํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋น„์ž ์˜์กด์€ ๋” ์ด์ƒ ์ „๋žต์  ์ž์‚ฐ์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Instead of bringing engineers to America, firms are building complex operations back home. The rise of AI and visa friction has turned โ€œoffshoreโ€ into a default strategyโ€”not a backup plan. What was once optional is now inevitable.

์ด์ œ ์—”์ง€๋‹ˆ์–ด๋ฅผ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์— ๋ณด๋‚ด๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค, ๋ณธ๊ตญ์—์„œ ๋ณต์žกํ•œ ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ˆ˜ํ–‰ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ ์ค‘์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. AI์˜ ๋ถ€์ƒ๊ณผ ๋น„์ž ์žฅ๋ฒฝ์€ ์˜คํ”„์‡ผ์–ด๋ฅผ โ€˜๋Œ€์•ˆโ€™์ด ์•„๋‹Œ โ€˜๊ธฐ๋ณธ ์ „๋žตโ€™์œผ๋กœ ๋งŒ๋“ค๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์„ ํƒ์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ํ•„์ˆ˜๋กœ ๋ฐ”๋€ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๐Ÿ—ฃ How They Talk About It

๐Ÿ“Œ โ€œprice out of the pipelineโ€
์ฑ„์šฉ ๊ฒฝ๋กœ์—์„œ ๋ฐ€๋ ค๋‚˜๋‹ค
โ€œSmall startups are being priced out of the H-1B talent pipeline.โ€
โ€œ์ž‘์€ ์Šคํƒ€ํŠธ์—…๋“ค์€ H-1B ์ธ์žฌ ์ฑ„์šฉ ๊ฒฝ๋กœ์—์„œ ๋ฐ€๋ ค๋‚˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.โ€

๐Ÿ“Œ โ€œbrain drain in reverseโ€
์—ญ(้€†) ๋ธŒ๋ ˆ์ธ ๋“œ๋ ˆ์ธ
โ€œThis is not just a brain drain; it's a brain drain in reverseโ€”back to India.โ€
โ€œ์ด๊ฑด ๋‹จ์ˆœํ•œ ๋ธŒ๋ ˆ์ธ ๋“œ๋ ˆ์ธ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ, ์ธ๋„๋กœ ๋˜๋Œ์•„๊ฐ€๋Š” ์—ญ ๋ธŒ๋ ˆ์ธ ๋“œ๋ ˆ์ธ์ด๋‹ค.โ€

๐Ÿ“Œ โ€œvisa taxโ€
๋น„์ž์„ธ, ์‚ฌ์‹ค์ƒ์˜ ์„ธ๊ธˆ
โ€œ$100,000 is effectively a visa tax on innovation.โ€
โ€œ10๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋Š” ์‚ฌ์‹ค์ƒ ํ˜์‹ ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๋น„์ž์„ธ๋‹ค.โ€

๐Ÿ“Œ โ€œoffshore by designโ€
์ „๋žต์  ์•„์›ƒ์†Œ์‹ฑ
โ€œCompanies are no longer offshoring by necessityโ€”theyโ€™re offshoring by design.โ€
โ€œ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์€ ๋” ์ด์ƒ ์–ด์ฉ” ์ˆ˜ ์—†์ด ์•„์›ƒ์†Œ์‹ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค. ์ „๋žต์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.โ€

๐ŸŽฌ Outro

When immigration policies block ambition, the future finds a new homeโ€”across borders.
์ด๋ฏผ ์žฅ๋ฒฝ์ด ์•ผ๋ง์„ ๊ฐ€๋กœ๋ง‰์„ ๋•Œ, ๋ฏธ๋ž˜๋Š” ๊ตญ๊ฒฝ์„ ๋„˜์–ด ์ƒˆ ๋ณด๊ธˆ์ž๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ์ฐพ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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์ด ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๋Š” Insight Salon ๋‰ด์Šค๋ ˆํ„ฐ ๊ตฌ๋…์ž๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ œ์ž‘๋œ ์ „์šฉ ์ž๋ฃŒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ์˜ ๋ฌด๋‹จ ๋ณต์ œ, ๋ฐฐํฌ, ์ˆ˜์ •์€ ์—„๊ฒฉํžˆ ๊ธˆ์ง€๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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๋ฉด์ฑ… ์กฐํ•ญ: ๋ณธ ๊ธฐ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ต์œก์ ยท์ •๋ณด ์ œ๊ณต์„ ๋ชฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์„ฑ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์žฌ๋ฌดยท๋ฒ•๋ฅ  ๋“ฑ ์ „๋ฌธ์  ์กฐ์–ธ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ชจ๋“  ์ •๋ณด๋Š” ๊ณต๊ฐœ๋œ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ ๊ตฌ์„ฑ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋‚˜ ๊ฒฝ์˜ ์ „๋žต์„ ์˜ˆ์ธกํ•˜๋ ค๋Š” ๋ชฉ์ ์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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